New NASA Van Allen Probes findings assisting to improve space weather models

Using data from NASA's Van Allen Probes, scientists have examined and enhanced one to assist forecast what is happening within the radiation atmosphere of near-Earth space -- a location seething with fast-moving contaminants along with a space weather system that varies as a result of incoming energy and contaminants in the sun.

NASA's Van Allen Probes orbit through two giant radiation devices that surround Earth. Their findings help to improve computer simulations of occasions within the devices that may affect technology wide.

When occasions within the two giant raspberry braid of radiation around Earth -- known as the Van Allen radiation devices -- make the devices to swell and electrons to accelerate to 99 % the rate of sunshine, nearby satellites can seem to be the results. Researchers ultimately wish to have the ability to predict these changes, which requires knowledge of what can cause them.

Now, two teams of related research released within the Geophysical Research Letters enhance these goals. By mixing new data in the Van Allen Probes having a high-powered computer model, the brand new research supplies a robust method to simulate occasions within the Van Allen devices.

"The Van Allen Probes are gathering great dimensions, however they can't let you know what's happening everywhere simultaneously,Inch stated Geoff Reeves, an area researcher at Los Alamos National Laboratory, or LANL, in Los Alamos, N.M., a co-author on from the recent papers. "We want models to supply a context, to explain the entire system, in line with the Van Allen Probe findings."

Just before the launch from the Van Allen Probes in August 2012, there have been no operating spacecraft made to collect real-time information within the radiation devices. Knowledge of what could be happening in almost any locale was made to depend mainly on interpretation historic data, particularly individuals in the early the nineteen nineties collected through the Combined Release and Radiation Effects Satellite, or CRRES.

Let's suppose meteorologists desired to predict the temperature on March 5, 2014, in Washington, D.C. however the only information available was from a number of dimensions produced in March during the last seven years up and lower the New England. That isn't exactly enough information to determine whether you have to put on your hat and mitts on a day within the nation's capital.

Fortunately, we've a lot more historic information, appliances allow us to predict the elements and, obviously, countless thermometers in almost any given city to determine temperature instantly. The Van Allen Probes is one step toward gathering more details about space weather within the radiation devices, but they don't have the opportunity to observe occasions everywhere at the same time. So researchers make use of the data they are in possession of open to build computer simulations that complete the gaps.

The current work centers around using Van Allen Probes data to enhance a 3-dimensional model produced by researchers at LANL, known as DREAM3D, which means Dynamic Radiation Atmosphere Assimilation Model in 3 Dimensions. So far the model depended heavily around the averaged data in the CRRES mission.

Among the recent papers, released February. 7, 2014, provides a procedure for gathering real-time global dimensions of chorus waves, that are essential in supplying energy to electrons within the radiation devices. They in comparison Van Allen Probes data of chorus wave behavior within the devices to data in the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Polar-revolving about Operational Environment Satellites, or POES, flying underneath the devices at low altitude. By using this data plus some other historic good examples, they correlated the reduced-energy electrons falling from the devices as to the was happening directly within the devices.

"After we established the connection between your chorus waves and also the stressfull electrons, we are able to make use of the POES satellite constellation -- that has a number of satellites revolving about Earth and obtain great coverage from the electrons being released from the devices," stated Los Alamos researcher Yue Chen, first author from the chorus waves paper. "Mixing that data having a couple of wave dimensions from one satellite, we are able to remotely sense what is happening using the chorus waves through the whole belt."

The connection between your stressfull electrons and also the chorus waves doesn't have a 1-to-one precision, however it provides a significantly narrower selection of options for what is happening within the devices. Within the metaphor of looking for the temperature for Washington on March 5, it's just like you still did not possess a thermometer within the city itself, but can produce a better estimate from the temperature as you have dimensions from the dewpoint and humidity inside a nearby suburb.

The 2nd paper describes a procedure of enhancing the DREAM3D model with data in the chorus wave technique, in the Van Allen Probes, and from NASA's Advanced Composition Explorer, or ACE, which measures contaminants in the photo voltaic wind. Los Alamos scientists in comparison simulations using their model -- which now could incorporate real-time information the very first time -- to some photo voltaic storm from October 2012.

"It was a amazing and dynamic storm," stated lead author Weichao Tu at Los Alamos. "Activity peaked two times during the period of the storm. The very first time the short electrons were completely destroyed -- it had been a quick give up. The 2nd time many electrons were faster substantially. There have been a 1000 occasions more high-energy electrons inside a couple of hrs."

Tu and her team went the DREAM3D model while using chorus wave information by including findings in the Van Allen Probes and ACE. The researchers discovered that their computer simulation produced by their model recreated a celebration much like the October 2012 storm.

In addition the model assisted explain the various results of the various peaks. Throughout the very first peak, there simply were less electrons around to become faster.

However, throughout the first areas of the storm the photo voltaic wind funneled electrons in to the devices. So, throughout the 2nd peak, there have been more electrons to accelerate.

"That provides us some confidence within our model," stated Reeves. "And, more to the point, it provides us confidence that we're beginning to know what's happening within the radiation devices."

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Global warming will improve survival rates of British bird -- the lengthy-tailed tit

Global warming might be not so good news for billions, but researchers in the College of Sheffield have found one unlikely champion -- a small British bird, the lengthy-tailed tit.

Like other small creatures living for just 2 or 3 years, these wild birds had so far been considered to die in large amounts throughout cold winters. But new information indicates that the sunshine throughout spring rather supports the answer to their survival.

The findings originate from a 20-year study of lengthy-tailed tits operated by Professor Ben Hatchwell in the Department of Animal and Plant Sciences. The current jobs are brought by PhD student Philippa Gullett and Dr Karl Evans from Sheffield, together with Take advantage of Robinson in the British Trust for Ornithology.

"Throughout spring, wild birds must work their socks off and away to raise their chicks," stated Philippa Gullett.

"For many small wild birds living for just 2 or 3 years, not raising any chicks twelve months is really a disaster. They may only acquire one more chance, so that they can not afford to fail."

No real surprise then these wild birds are prepared to invest everything and risk dying whether it means their youthful survive. The surprise is the fact that weather helps to make the difference. The study learned that wild birds attempting to breed in dry and warm springs cash good chances of making it through to another year -- a singular result that counters common presumptions about the reason for dying for small wild birds.

"What appears to become happening would be that the tits attempt to raise their chicks no matter what,Inch added Ms Gullett.

"Whether it's winter in spring, which makes their job much harder. Meals are harder to locate eggs and chicks are vulnerable to getting cold. As a result through the finish from the breeding season, the adult wild birds are exhausted."

The research found no real aftereffect of winter months recently on adult survival, however winter autumns were connected having a greater dying rate.

"We are not to imply that wild birds never die in the winter months -- in harsh years you will find certain to be some deaths," described Dr Karl Evans.

"However, it appears that in many years fall weather plays a larger role, possibly serving as a filter that weeds out less strong wild birds prior to the real winter hits."

Although autumns could get wetter in in the future, any rise in mortality will probably be offset by the advantages of warmer breeding seasons, when more benign conditions lessen the costs of breeding.

Dr Evans added: "Searching ahead towards the future, our data indicates that each single plausible global warming scenario can result in an additional rise in lengthy-tailed survival rates. Even though many species struggle to sit in global warming, these wonderful wild birds appear apt to be those who win."

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Partners deploy underwater robots to improve hurricane science

September 9, 2013

A fleet of underwater robots is descending into waters off the east coast to collect data that could help improve storm intensity forecasts during future hurricane seasons. Several regions of the NOAA-led U.S. Integrated Ocean Observing System (IOOS®) are partnering to deploy 12 to 16 autonomous underwater robotic vehicles, also known as gliders, from Nova Scotia to Georgia.  

The gliders will be available through the peak fall Atlantic storm season to collect data on ocean conditions, which will help improve scientists’ understanding of hurricanes and pave the way for future improvements in hurricane intensity forecasts.  

“When storms are moving along our coasts, lives depend on accurate forecasts,” said Zdenka Willis, U.S. IOOS program director. “The unmanned gliders will allow us to collect data even in the middle of the storm and eventually provide this information to NOAA’s National Weather Service to help improve forecast precision so decision makers can keep people safe.”

Scientists will deploy the first gliders in the fleet in early September and continue deploying from different locations throughout the next two to three weeks. Each glider will be deployed for three to eight weeks, collecting data into October.

The underwater gliders can travel thousands of miles and continuously collect and send back ocean data. They can operate for several months at a time and can dive repeatedly to collect three-dimensional ocean observations.

Rutgers University is leading this combined science mission involving all three of the east coast IOOS regions: Northeast, Mid-Atlantic and Southeast. In addition to glider data, the mission will use satellite, moored buoy and coastal radar data. During the mission, the gliders will also collect acoustic data about fish and mammal migrations to improve the understanding of their behaviors.  

Collected glider data will go through NOAA’s National Data Buoy Center to NOAA’s National Weather Service, the U.S. Navy and other data users for modeling. Data from the glider missions will also be public and available on the IOOS Glider Asset Map and at http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/gliders.php

In addition to NOAA funding, provided through the IOOS regions, other funding sources for the project include the Office of Naval Research, the Environmental Protection Agency, NASA, a private donor from the University of Delaware, and Canada’s Ocean Technology Network.

IOOS is a federal, regional and private sector partnership working to enhance the ability to collect, deliver and use ocean information. IOOS delivers the data and information needed to increase understanding of our ocean and coasts so that decision makers can act to improve safety, enhance the economy, and protect the environment.

NOAA’s mission is to understand and predict changes in the Earth's environment, from the depths of the ocean to the surface of the sun, and to conserve and manage our coastal and marine resources. Join us on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram and our other social media channels.

View the original article here

Partners deploy underwater robots to improve hurricane science

September 9, 2013

A fleet of underwater robots is descending into waters off the east coast to collect data that could help improve storm intensity forecasts during future hurricane seasons. Several regions of the NOAA-led U.S. Integrated Ocean Observing System (IOOS®) are partnering to deploy 12 to 16 autonomous underwater robotic vehicles, also known as gliders, from Nova Scotia to Georgia.  

The gliders will be available through the peak fall Atlantic storm season to collect data on ocean conditions, which will help improve scientists’ understanding of hurricanes and pave the way for future improvements in hurricane intensity forecasts.  

“When storms are moving along our coasts, lives depend on accurate forecasts,” said Zdenka Willis, U.S. IOOS program director. “The unmanned gliders will allow us to collect data even in the middle of the storm and eventually provide this information to NOAA’s National Weather Service to help improve forecast precision so decision makers can keep people safe.”

Scientists will deploy the first gliders in the fleet in early September and continue deploying from different locations throughout the next two to three weeks. Each glider will be deployed for three to eight weeks, collecting data into October.

The underwater gliders can travel thousands of miles and continuously collect and send back ocean data. They can operate for several months at a time and can dive repeatedly to collect three-dimensional ocean observations.

Rutgers University is leading this combined science mission involving all three of the east coast IOOS regions: Northeast, Mid-Atlantic and Southeast. In addition to glider data, the mission will use satellite, moored buoy and coastal radar data. During the mission, the gliders will also collect acoustic data about fish and mammal migrations to improve the understanding of their behaviors.  

Collected glider data will go through NOAA’s National Data Buoy Center to NOAA’s National Weather Service, the U.S. Navy and other data users for modeling. Data from the glider missions will also be public and available on the IOOS Glider Asset Map and at http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/gliders.php

In addition to NOAA funding, provided through the IOOS regions, other funding sources for the project include the Office of Naval Research, the Environmental Protection Agency, NASA, a private donor from the University of Delaware, and Canada’s Ocean Technology Network.

IOOS is a federal, regional and private sector partnership working to enhance the ability to collect, deliver and use ocean information. IOOS delivers the data and information needed to increase understanding of our ocean and coasts so that decision makers can act to improve safety, enhance the economy, and protect the environment.

NOAA’s mission is to understand and predict changes in the Earth's environment, from the depths of the ocean to the surface of the sun, and to conserve and manage our coastal and marine resources. Join us on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram and our other social media channels.

View the original article here